If History Repeats Its Self (Part 2)

This is a continuation of using the past 3 Olympic Games and the prior World Championships to predict the London podium.  In this part, I'm going to predict the All Around podium.
Tianjin 1999
Gold-Maria Olaru (ROU)
Silver-Viktoria Karpenko (UKR)
Bronze-Elena Zamolodchikova
Sydney 2000
Gold-Simona Amanar (Andreaa Raducan was stripped of her gold after testing positive for an illegal substance) (ROU)
Silver-Maria Olaru (Original Bronze medalist) (ROU)
Bronze-Liu Xuan (CHN)
Anaheim 2003
Gold-Svetlana Khorkina (RUS)
Silver-Carly Patterson (USA)
Bronze-Zhang Nan (CHN)
Athens 2004
Gold-Carly Patterson (USA)
Silver-Svetlana Khorkina (RUS)
Bronze-Zhang Nan (CHN)
Stuttgart 2007
Gold-Shawn Johnson (USA)
Silver-Steliana Nistor (ROU)
Bronze-Jade Barbosa (BRA) and Vanessa Ferrari (ITA)
Beijing 2008
Gold-Nastia Liukin (USA)
Silver-Shawn Johnson (USA)
Bronze-Yang Yilin (CHN)
Tokyo 2011
Gold-Jordyn Wieber (USA)
Silver-Viktoria Komova (RUS)
Bronze-Yao Jinnan (CHN)
Using these results, based on history its safe to predict that the top three will place..
Jordyn Wieber-Silver
Viktoria Komova- 7th
Yao Jinnan--8th
It is unlikely that the second and third ranked gymnasts will fall this drastically in the standings, but with new seniors that are capable of doing great in the all around and how unpredictable gymnastics is, anything can happen.
Look tomorrow for the next part, vault and bars!
Thanks:)
Allie

If History Repeated It's Self Part 1

For my first blog, I thought it would be cool to take the results from the past 3 Olympic Games (200, 2004, and 2008) and the world championships prior to the Games (1999, 2003, and 2007) to see what the podium would look like in 2012. First, I'm going to take the world champion, and compare it to how they did at the Olympics in each of the events.  I'm going to do this for the podium, to try and predict what the London podiums will look like.
Team
Tianjin 1999
Gold-Romania
Silver-Russia
Bronze-Ukraine (China's results were nullified, handing the bronze to the Ukrainians)
Sydney 2000
Gold-Romania
Silver-Russia
Bronze-United States (Again, China lost the bronze due to age falsification)
Anaheim 2003
Gold-United States
Silver-Romania
Bronze-Australia
Athens 2004
Gold-Romania
Silver-United States
Bronze-Russia
Stuttgart 2007
Gold-United States
Silver-China
Bronze-Romania
Beijing 2008
Gold-China
Silver-United States
Bronze-Romania
Tokyo 2011
Gold-United States
Silver-Russia
Bronze-China
On average, the World Champion placed 1.7, or second in the Olympics Games.  The silver medalist placed 1.3, or first.  The bronze medalist placed in fifth place.  Using these averages, we can predict based on history, that the top 3 team from Tokyo will place
Russia-Gold
United States-Silver
China-Fifth
Kinda hard to believe that the reining Olympic Champions will place fifth, but it's gymnastics and anything can happen.  All Around competitions are coming next:)
Thanks for reading
-Allie